• What is censoring
• March Madness has natural censoring, but only a little bit
• When you go to fill out a bracket, you want to know when to eliminate teams
• You aren’t really trying to develop a model that predicts individual matchups
• WHY YOU WANT TO USE SURVIVAL ANALYSIS
  • What it gives that other approaches don’t
• Non-informative censoring (look into this more)
• Simulation approach to completing a bracket
  • Naive strategies like coin flips and chalk brackets
  • Fit each model + simulate
  • Get distribution of scores